NH OUTLOOK, Tuesday, 11/2/2004
script iconHello/Intro Election script iconVoting/Patterson
script iconIntro Spiliotes script iconTomorrow
script iconDean Spiliotes Disc script iconGoodnight
script iconElectoral College script iconElection Night Crawl
script iconKerry in Boston script iconkey: national politics/ government
script iconBush in DC script iconkey: state politics/ government
script iconExec Council script iconTonight 10:00
script iconCACR-5 script iconWEB PROMO
script iconUpdate Numbers script iconPost Show Log
script iconDean Spiliotes Disc  


script iconHello/Intro Election
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Hello. I'm Beth Carroll. Welcome to this special edition of New Hampshire Outlook ---Election-Night 2004. Expect a long night in the Granite State.
Long lines and a shortage of ballots will delay the count in many communities.
NH is a key battleground state -- which means our 4 electoral votes could decide who wins in a tight race --which is why both presidential campaigns have been courting NH voters up to the very last minute.
They're still voting on the west coast --but, here are the latest Numbers -- in
what's been one of the most contentious elections in recent memory
**AD-LIB NUMBERS**
bush
kerry
270 Electoral College votes are needed to become President.
Here's the latest tally:
As for the NH VOTE ---and our 4 electoral college
President Bush
John Kerry
Let's turn to the hotly contested Gubernatorial Race:
Benson
Lynch
In the U-S Senate Race it was Age vs Experience. AP called Race minutes after 8.
Gregg
Haddock
In the First Congressional District -- the AP called the race shortly after 9:00 with Jeb Bradley on top.
Bradley
Nadeau
In the 2nd Congressional District
Bass
Hodes
script iconIntro Spiliotes
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Here to help us sort out all these numbers and what they mean: Dean Spiliotes, a visiting scholar at St Anselm College and long time student of American Politics with a special interest in Presidential Campaigns and Elections.
Welcome.
Q Let's talk about the Presidential Race. NH went for Bush in 2000.
The 2004 vote remains too close to call.
Latest Poll Numbers in NH showed JOHn Kerry with a narrow lead over George Bush.
NH used to be a republican given -- NOT so, this time around.
Q All along we've said Whoever could TURN OUT the vote would win!
Heavy Turnout --long Lines..
Conventional Wisdom had Kerry the beneficiary -- want to add to that wisdom?
Q RECORD turnout Expected: NH is one of five states that lets new voters register and vote on Election Day.
Q MEDIA being extremely cautious in projections -given the 2000 race and mistakes
made. Won't call races until polls are closed. That's a good thing.
Q NH Democrats said they'll have 500 lawyers at polling places to advise
people of their rights. Republicans will have dozens of their own. Good thing or Not?
.
Q If the STUDENT vote comes thru - its presumed Kerry would be the beneficiary?
Q What about the Ralph Nader factor. He had a major impact on the 2000 Election in NH.
How different is this year.
Q NH voters say issues that brought them to the polls
TERRORISM, THE WAR, AND MORAL VALUES.
Results of Exit Polls inNH:
Kerry led among voters who listed WAR as top issue.
Bush led those worried about TERRORISM.
Bush did better than Kerry on MORAL values.
Kerry led on economy and jobs.
script iconDean Spiliotes Disc
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GOVERNOR'S RACE"
Q Craig Benson tried to make the race about TAXES.
John Lynch focused on INTEGRITY
A lot of Personal Attacks in the campaign. Who Benefited from that.
Q Sitting Governor's don't lose in NH --
Q Let's talk about MONEY.
Last numbers I saw Benson had spent 3 million of his own Money, Lynch about 2 million.
Last weeks Benson spent 1.6 mil, Lynch 800-thousand.
Outspend Lynch in final weeks -- HOW much of an IMPACT do you think that had?
first elected office
LATEST POLLS showed Benson with 50% of likely voters to Lynch's 49%.
If Incumbent has less than 50% -- the undecideds generally break to the challenger.
HIGH TURNOUT. Secretary of State Bill Gardner predicted record turnout an
estimated 600 thousand out of state's 800 thousand voters will go to the polls.
running out of ballots in some places.
Who benefits from that
=================
SENATE RACE
Q Judd Gregg, very popular incumbent -- expected to win.
Granny D stepped in at last minute to challenge him.
What do HER numbers say to you?
==========
CONGRESSIONAL RACES
Q 1ST district Jeb Bradley --
Justin Nadeu
Q2nd District: Charles Bass-going for 6th term. War & Economic policy
Paul Hodes
====
Q The A-G's office busy chasing down voting complaints in N-H.
Republicans and Democrats accused each other of dirty tricks.
Suprised by the divisiveness here in the state.
script iconElectoral College
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It's important to note that the President is not chosen by the popular vote --but, by the electoral vote totals. Those Electoral Votes are awarded on the basis of the "popular" vote in each State.
A candidate needs 270 votes to win. Let's take a look at the latest tally:
Q The 2000 Election gave us all a history lesson on the Electoral College.
What happens if NO candidate gets 270 electoral votes.
goes to House, state delegation has one vote. The Senate would elect the V-P.
Q Will we know who will be President -- tomorrow morning?
script iconKerry in Boston
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Boston's Copley Square is filling up with John Kerry supporters who are hoping they will be able to celebrate a victory in the presidential election tonight.
The Democrat returned to Boston this afternoon to cast his ballot.
Kerry was accompanied by his wife, Teresa Heinz Kerry, when he voted at the State House.
The Bay State's junior Senator is awaiting the verdict of voters around the country before heading to the rally at Copley Square.
That's where Kerry will address supporters on a stage in front of the Boston Public Library.
script iconBush in DC
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President Bush is watching the results of today's vote at the White House.
He returned to Washington, D-C after a marathon day and night of speeches and rallies.
And after casting his vote near his ranch in Crawford, Texas.
Mr. Bush, along with First Lady Laura Bush and their twin daughters voted at a volunteer fire station in Crawford.
At some point he's expected to join supporters at the Reagan Reagan Trade Center in Washington.
script iconExec Council
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Let's talk about The Executive Council -- which is almost unique to NH.
The 5-member board works in concert with the Governor.
It's an arm of the executive branch -- approves state contracts and nominees to state boards and judicial positions. A job --most people hardly know exists.
There are 3 contested council seats this year: District 2, District 4 and District 5.
District 2
Peter Spaulding vs Dem. John Shea
District 4
Ray Wieczorek: vs Dem Ray Buckley
District 5
David Wheeler vs Dem Debora Pignatelli
District 1/ Ruth Griffin District 3
Q How will the make-up of the Executive Council affect Gov_______?
script iconCACR-5
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NH Voters also faced a ballot question this time around to amend the state's constitution.
Question 1: deals with the balance of power between the courts and the legislature.
Under this amendment, Lawmakers would "share" rule-making power with the courts.
Their rules would become law -- as long as they didn't violate the constitution.
Q Lot of Confusion. The Chief Justice of the Superior Court Robert Lynn supported it.
Chief Justice of the Supreme Court Broderick opposed it.
Q A similiar amendment 2 years ago -- was just SHY of the 2/3 vote needed to pass. The Courts opposed it, Lawmakers lobbied for it --
What would suprise you -- on this question??
script iconUpdate Numbers
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Let's take a moment now to update the latest numbers in the key races:
As of about 9:45pm:
AD-LIB
script iconDean Spiliotes Disc
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Richard Ager is at the Benson Campaign Headquarters in Manchester.
** Gregg gave Victory speech by 20 after
Interesting election -- appreciation and admiration to Doris Haddock
Thanked her -- all in NH admire her.
Issues
Q What Impact do you think the Presidential Race will have on the Gubernatorial
Race?
Here in NH can vote STRAIGHT party ticket.
Q
script iconVoting/Patterson
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The presidential race has been a "dead heat" right up to the last minute.
George W. Bush and John Kerry -- broke with tradition-- and did some Election-day campaigning.
I asked Harvard University Professor and author Thomas Patterson what we should be looking for in EARLY voting results.
99 2:50:4-2:51:07/ If interested in horse race.keep eye on florida and
pennsylvania. If Kerry wins Florida, it's probably over. If Bush wins Florida, its not quite over. If he wins Pennsylvania then it's over.
Q Dean: That was days ago -- Does that still HOLD, or -- have the key states
shifted?
Q With the Huge Turnout -- certainly see Democracy at work- the Upside of the tight
presidential race.
script iconTomorrow
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On the next New Hampshire Outlook -
Andy Smith and Dante Scala will join me for some post election analysis of the key races -- we'll also hear from some of the winners and losers-- and talk about what it
all means to New Hampshire.
script iconGoodnight
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Thanks for joining us for this special LIVE edition of New Hampshire Outlook.
Stay tuned for a LIVE News Hour special election report.
We leave you with the latest election numbers in the key races here in
New Hampshire.
I'm Beth Carroll. Good NIGHT.
script iconElection Night Crawl
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New Hampshire local election results … President 55% precincts Bush 99,999 Kerry 99,998 … Governor 52% precincts Benson 99,999 Lynch 88,888 … US Senate 65% precincts Gregg 99,999 Haddock 22,222 … Congress District 1 100% precincts Bradley 99,999 Nadeau 92,222 … Congress District 2 55% precincts Bass 99,999 Hodes 55,555 … Executive Council District 2 100% precincts Shea 39,366 Spaulding 48,116 … Executive Council Dist 4 100% precincts Buckley 29,916 Wieczorek 36,566 … Executive Council District 5 100% precincts Pignatelli 32,916 Wheeler 40,231 … Question 1 100% precincts YES 55,555 NO 66,666
script iconkey: national politics/ government
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NEW HAMPSHIRE OUTLOOK Air Date/Time: 11/02/04
HOST: Beth Carroll LENGTH: 26:46
Hello. I'm Beth Carroll. Welcome to this special edition of New Hampshire Outlook Election-Night 2004. Expect a long night in the Granite State. Long lines and a shortage of ballots will delay the count in many communities. NH is a key battleground state which means our four electoral votes could decide who wins in a tight race which is why both presidential campaigns have been courting NH voters up to the very last minute. They're still voting on the west coast but, here are the latest Numbers in what's been one of the most contentious elections in recent memory. Here to help us sort out all these numbers and what they mean: Dean Spiliotes, a visiting scholar at St Anselm College and long time student of American Politics with a special interest in Presidential Campaigns and Elections. It's important to note that the President is not chosen by the popular vote but, by the electoral vote totals. Those Electoral Votes are awarded on the basis of the "popular" vote in each State. A candidate needs 270 votes to win. President Bush is watching the results of today's vote at the White House. He returned to Washington, D.C. after a marathon day and night of speeches and rallies. And after casting his vote near his ranch in Crawford, Texas. Mr. Bush, along with First Lady Laura Bush and their twin daughters voted at a volunteer fire station in Crawford. At some point he's expected to join supporters at the Reagan Reagan Trade Center in Washington. Boston's Copley Square is filling up with John Kerry supporters who are hoping they will be able to celebrate a victory in the presidential election tonight. The Democrat returned to Boston this afternoon to cast his ballot. Kerry was accompanied by his wife, Teresa Heinz Kerry, when he voted at the State House. The Bay State's junior Senator is awaiting the verdict of voters around the country before heading to the rally at Copley Square. That's where Kerry will address supporters on a stage in front of the Boston Public Library.
PRODUCER/REPORTER: NAMES OF PARTICIPANTS: Dean Spiliotes\Visiting Scholar, St Anselm College
script iconkey: state politics/ government
Return to index of stories...
NEW HAMPSHIRE OUTLOOK Air Date/Time: 11/02/04
HOST: Beth Carroll LENGTH: 02:00
Hello. I'm Beth Carroll. Welcome to this special edition of New Hampshire Outlook Election-Night 2004. Expect a long night in the Granite State. Long lines and a shortage of ballots will delay the count in many communities. NH is a key battleground state which means our four electoral votes could decide who wins in a tight race which is why both presidential campaigns have been courting NH voters up to the very last minute. They're still voting on the west coast but, here are the latest Numbers in what's been one of the most contentious elections in recent memory. Here to help us sort out all these numbers and what they mean: Dean Spiliotes, a visiting scholar at St Anselm College and long time student of American Politics with a special interest in Presidential Campaigns and Elections. Let's talk about The Executive Council which is almost unique to NH. The 5-member board works in concert with the Governor. It's an arm of the executive branch approves state contracts and nominees to state boards and judicial positions. A job most people hardly know exists. There are 3 contested council seats this year: District 2, District 4 and District 5. NH Voters also faced a ballot question this time around to amend the state's constitution. Question 1: deals with the balance of power between the courts and the legislature. Under this amendment, Lawmakers would "share" rule-making power with the courts. Their rules would become law as long as they didn't violate the constitution.
PRODUCER/REPORTER: NAMES OF PARTICIPANTS: Dean Spiliotes\Visiting Scholar, St Anselm College
script iconTonight 10:00
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Tonight on New Hampshire Outlook:
Join us tonight at 10:00 only on New Hampshire Public Television.
script iconWEB PROMO
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Tonight on New Hampshire Outlook.
. Tonight at 10pm on New Hampshire Public Television.
script iconPost Show Log
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Tuesday, November 2, 2004:
We were live tonight -- Election Night-- from 9:30-10pm. The show went really well. The only hiccup was when Carl came into the control room to help with Richard's phoner and distracted all of us away from the program. There was just a brief pause. Overall, the show went extremely smoothly.
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