New Outlook Talk Show, Sunday, 9/10/2006
script iconPreshow script iconThanks/Goodbye
script iconHello/NH Primary script iconWeb Promo
script iconBradley Race script iconDiscussion
script iconBass Race script iconLeiberman
script iconSnafu script iconballot
script iconExecutive Council script iconKey: state politics/government
script iconGov Race  


script iconPreshow
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This week from Concord: A primary preview.
What you need to know about matchups in the key races in Tuesday's state primary.
The journalists weigh in NOW on New Hampshire Outlook: Where NH Talks!
script iconHello/NH Primary
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Welcome to NH Outlook. This week we're coming to you from Concord: the state capitol and seat of state government.
It's all part of our ongoing effort to take the program out of the studio and into your community.
Hello, I'm Beth Carroll. We're broadcasting from the NH Political Library -- which houses the historical record of the state's first-in-the-nation primary.
A fitting backdrop for this half hour as we explore NH politics and the upcoming STATE primary election.
In this half hour - we're looking at the "hot" races in the September 12th contest -- what issues are driving the election and the implications.
Here to talk about all this and more -- Kevin Landrigan from the Telegraph, Colin Manning from Foster's Daily Democrat, and Edith Tucker from the Coos County Democrat.
Welcome to all of you.
We begin with NH's 2 Congressional Races.
A battle is underway across the country for control of Congress.
Republicans have held power in both the House and Senate since 19-94.
But, Polls show Democrats are poised to make some gains.
Are NH's Congressman vulnerable to what many are calling the "rising tide of blue?"
Q KEVIN: Are Charlie Bass and Jeb Bradley vulnerable?
==========
Q COLIN: Are NH Democrats pinning their hopes on the national dissatisfaction with Washington, President Bush, and the War? Hoping to ride that WAVE here???
Q We all know about the power of the INCUMBENCY -- but, then there's the Joe LIEBERMAN factor.
The 3-term CT Senator LOST democration nomination to a Political Newcomer, Ned Lamont.
Q What is the message of the CT PRIMARY??
Q Could the LIEBERMAN effect -- play out here in NH???
NH traditionally most conservative NE state.
script iconBradley Race
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Lets look at the first District: Jeb Bradley -- a Wolfeboro Republican -- is seeking a 3rd time.
He's certainly POPULAR based on recent poll numbers. But, 1 Republican and 4 Democrats are looking to unseat him. He'll square off against Republican Michael Callis of Eaton in the primary -- and 4 democrats are battling it out for that party's nomination.
*Jim Craig of Manchester
*Carol-Shea Porter of Rochester
*Gary Dodds of Rye
*& David Jarvis of Londonderry
Q Let's talk about the challengers: Give us a quick SNAPSHOT of those running.
Q Michael Callis -- any political experience?
Q Jim Craig -- has got the backing of the NATIONAL Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.
What does that MEAN for his CANDIDACY???
Q Is there a DOWNSIDE to getting DCCC endorsement? Viewed as INSIDER.Washington candidate???
Q Certainly seeing a lot of Craig ADS airing -- moneywise is he the leader?
Q Gary DODDS: Likes to say he weathered adversity.
His day-long disappearance after a Spring car crash made headlines. Has he overcome the STIGMA of that????
Q DAVID JARVIS: Has he been doing much campaigning??
Q KEVIN: Carol-Shea Porter: Said to be a staunch ANTI-WAR
candidate. The war in Iraq and the war on terror BIG issues in this year's election campaign.
*Callis: against the War
* Carol Shea Porter -
*Gary Dodds --
*Jim Craig-
Q AS for ISSUES: Not just War on minds of voters. Enviroment, energy, economy.
Q Harper's Magazine article examines Congressman Jeb Bradley's investments and his voting record.
does the portrait painted of him hurt him???/7
script iconBass Race
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Will the discontent with Washington hurt 6-term Congressman Charlie Bass of Peterborough in the 2nd District?
2 Republicans. Berlin Mayor Bob Danderson and Concord resident Mary Maxwell are vying for the GOP nod. The winner faces Democrat Paul Hodes in November.
Q EDITH: Tell us about Berlin's Mayor Danderson.
** Danderson agrees with Bass on War in Iraq.
has 2 sons in military. doesn't doubt military wisdom of the war.
Q KEVIN: NOT the case with Mary Maxwell. The GOP candidate believes we should withdraw from Iraq.
No political experience.
Q COLIN: Most PUNDITS believe it will be a BASS/ HODES Rematch.
In general, REMATCH campaigns are NOT successful. Any reason to believe this time will be different???
Q Bass was elected in 94 when the GOP was swept into Power. Given the current power struggle.will being a "Democrat " in NH help Paul Hodes -- in his fight to oust Bass.
Q Hodes POLLS claim the race is a dead-heat? Are we to believe that?
Q Is NH's 2nd District political make-up more democratic leaning???
Q Hodes Radio spot says: " A spine is a terrible thing to waste, and when I get to Washington, I'm bringing my backbone with me." He began running for this race -- immediately. Has that paid off???
Q EDITH: Bass recently seen campaigning with Ray Burton
Said he WOULDN'T be a part of his campaign -- what happened????
Q in MONEY DEPT: HOdes raised more than Bass.
script iconSnafu
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A handful of candidates may be BOOTED from the ballot -- because election officials say they didn't follow the rules.
Q What's all the fuss about? How many candidates impacted?
Q Voted for one party -- and didn't change registration back before re-filing for election?
script iconExecutive Council
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The Executive Council -- doesn't usually get a lot of attention --but, this year the Republican District 3 contest is a race to watch:
In the running:
*Local publisher Sean Mahoney of Portsmouth
* State Sen Chuck Morse of Salem
* Former state Sen. Russell Prescott of Kingston
Q What is the prevailing view in the race? Morse and Mahoney, Prescott as spoiler hurting
Mahoney.
Q Who benefits if turnout is low?
Why so much interest in Exec Council -- not that much power???
+++++++
Q House Speaker Doug Scamman - is NOT seeking re-election to the Legislature.
So, The race to replace him is on.
Who are the likely CANDIDATES for the Speakers POST?
script iconGov Race
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Governor John Lynch has a free ride for the primary.
But, in November he'll be facing Republian challenger: State Representative James Coburn.
Q How is that race shaping up???
Q It's been a quiet race - Although we are starting to see more ADS.
Q Coburn FUNDRAISING??
Q State Democrats Governor's high APPROVAL ratings will help democrats make some ground in the fall.
They" d need more than a DOZEN seats for the state senate to go democratic. Any seats particularly vulnerable??
++++++++++++++++
Back in June, these six districts, all held by the Republicans, were identified as "in play":
2nd: Carl Johnson , incumbent
4th: Robert Boyce
7th: Bob Flanders
10th: Tom Eaton
11th: Peter Bragdon
18th: Andy Martel
q Sen Dick Green, a strong Republican incumbent in a marginal GOP district -- taking over at Pease --
forgoing a 3rd term. That district --- now a democratic target?
Aug 15th / PoliticsNH.com
Submitted by admin on August 15, 2006 - 1:41pm. Gov. John Lynch's re-election campaign aired their first campaign commercials today in what has been so far a very sleepy gubernatorial campaign.
Titled "A Fresh Start" the ads stress Lynch's role in the Alstead floods and the saving of the Portsmouth Naval Shipyard.
Next week, Lynch will formally open his campaign office in Manchester.
script iconThanks/Goodbye
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My thanks to our guests: Edith Tucker, Kevin Landrigan and Colin Manning.
Special thanks to our hosts here at the NH Political Library housed in the State Library in Concord.
And, thank you for watching NH Outlook. where NH Talks.
I hope you'll join us as we take our program on the road -- to connect with you-- our viewers.
I'm Beth Carroll. I'll see you around NH.
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script iconDiscussion
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** consumer confidence no rise: UNH Survey Center
Consumers more confident about biz conditions in NH than country
Confidence in state's economy is good news for incumbents facing
re-election this November
With NHs economy in good shape -- those in charge won't take heat
Pres Bush's job approval rating rose in NH.
39% approve of his performance.up from dismal 30% in April.
Numbers up because conservatives are back on board once you get close to an election.people come home to the party
It's good news for Republicans across country heading into Novemer.
script iconLeiberman
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Sen Joe Lieberman, crippled by support of the Iraq war, lost the
democratic nomination for a 4th term to a political newcomer.
Ned Lamont.
CT primary watched closely around country.as a barometer of anti-war sentiment that could shape the outcome of the Nov mid-term elections, particularly in Democratic leaning states.
Leiberman, prominent hawk on military matters
Lamont
** built his campaing with enthusiastic support of bloggers and
other internet based activities.
3-way race for Dem nomination in 1st Cong District.
Could what happenened in CT -- carry north?
danger for dems -- appearing too far left on Iraq.
trap for reps- distancing themselves of Iraq w/out seeming overly critical
script iconballot
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,
the ballot for the next election. On 25 August 2006 the New Hampshire Supreme Court decided that the ruling would affect the 7 November election and not the 12 September Primary.
Concord – The state Supreme Court yesterday morning decided the Sept. 12 primary ballot would not be affected by its decision last week on candidate placement on ballots, but its decision would apply to general election ballots in November.
The court threw out a law dictating the placement of candidates' names on ballots earlier this month.
According to yesterday's unanimous decision, "The defendant correctly notes in his motion that our opinion in this case addressed the general election ballot design statute, RAS 656:5, and the defendant's practice of alphabetizing candidates within party columns on the general election ballot. We were not asked to address the design of ballots in other elections, and thus did not do so."
However, the court refused to delay its ruling on the November general election ballot.
Secretary of State Bill Gardner said, "I'm pleased the primary ballot remains as it. All the absentee ballots that have been distributed or are in process will be allowed to continue." The make up of the general election ballot will be decided later, he noted, adding state law requires the primary ballot to nearly the same as the general election ballot.
"We'll work out the details of the rest of this. I'm just not prepared to say how we will do this at the moment," Gardner said.
In its ruling, the Supreme Court says "Nothing in our opinion otherwise limits the authority of the defendant or the Legislature to determine how a constitutional ballot will be prepared for the November 2006 general election."
The court noted the issue has been returned to Merrimack County Superior Court for a judgement consistent with its opinion declaring ballots listing the majority party first and names in alphabetical order unconstitutional, but not to determine how the ballot will be prepared.
Under the court's order, an agreement would have to be reached between the two parties or a special legislative session would have to be held to determine the makeup of the November ballot.
Gardner said the ballot makeup could be determined by the Legislature if it wants to come back into special session. He said the decision allows him or the Legislature or some the parties to reach some agreement that can present a plan to the Superior Court to decide if it falls under the Supreme Court's ruling. He said the parties may be able to reach some agreement that can be presented to the court as well.
"We have some time," Gardner said. "It really depends on whether goes to Superior Court or another route."
The New Hampshire Democratic Party, which helped to bring the suit, supports allowing the printed ballots for the Sept. 12 primary to be used and to have the Supreme Court's change in the ballot law go into effect in time for the November general election.
"We are pleased that the Supreme Court has decided against the motion to postpone the much needed changes to the New Hampshire ballot that will ensure all parties and their candidates have a fair and equal opportunity at the ballot box," said Kathy Sullivan, chairman of the New Hampshire Democratic Party.
"We would also like to urge the Republican leadership to stop their efforts to interfere with the court's decision so can all move forward to the election in November." Earlier this week, Gardner asked the court to let the Sept. 12 primary be held without changing the ballot.
Gardner also asked the court to let him rotate placement of candidates by column in the general election to give the Legislature time to adopt a constitutional ballot system.
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script iconKey: state politics/government
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NEW HAMPSHIRE OUTLOOK Air Date/Time: 09/10/06
HOST: Beth Carroll Length: 24:59 minutes
Welcome to NH Outlook. This week we're coming to you from Concord: the state capitol and seat of state government. It's all part of our ongoing effort to take the program out of the studio and into your community. Hello, I'm Beth Carroll. We're broadcasting from the NH Political Library -- which houses the historical record of the state's first-in-the-nation primary -- a fitting backdrop for this half hour as we explore NH politics and the upcoming state primary election. In this half hour - we're looking at the "hot" races in the September 12th contest -- what issues are driving the election and the implications. Here to talk about all this and more -- Kevin Landrigan from the Telegraph, Colin Manning from Foster's Daily Democrat, and Edith Tucker from the Coos County Democrat.
PRODUCER/REPORTER: Beth Carroll NAME OF PARTICIPANTS: Kevin Landrigan\The Telegraph, Colin Manning\Foster's Daily Democrat, Edith Tucker\Coos County Democrat
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