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 PreshowReturn to index of stories... |
This week from Concord: An Election Preview!! Journalists weigh in and so do NH students who cast their own ballots in a mock election. Now, on NH Outlook: Where NH Talks! |
| Hello/Intro Election Return to index of stories... |
This week we're broadcasting from the NH Political Library, inside the State Library in Concord. A fitting backdrop as we explore NH politics and Tuesday's election. Hello, I'm Beth Carroll. Welcome to New Hampshire Outlook. It's a high stakes year in politics -- with the control of Congress up for grabs. NH, like 36 other states, is also facing a Gubernatorial challenge. Turnout is expected to be "higher-than-usual" in NH.given the state's 2 very competitive Congressional races. Here to talk about all that and more: Kevin Landrigan from the Telegraph,Tom Fahey from the Union Leader, and James Pindell, the NH Political Reporter for the Boston Globe. A warm welcome to all of you. |
| Intro Bush vo Return to index of stories... |
For a sense of just how TIGHT the Congressional races are getting -- just look at the steady flow of political heavyweights making the rounds in NH. Senator John MCain was here recently to stump for Congressman Charles Bass. In October, Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani was here to campaign for Congressman Jeb Bradley -- and was back again on Friday for yet another push to "get out the vote". With pundits predicting a "STRONG" democratic showing Tuesday -- First Lady Laura Bush has been dispatched to a dozen states-- including New Hampshire-- to campaign for the GOP ticket. At a rally in Manchester last week, Mrs. Bush praised NH's Republican Congressmen for backing President Bush on the Iraq War. On the Democratic Side: Senator's Joe Biden and John Kerry have been stumping in NH, raising money and awareness for Democratic challengers: Paul Hodes in the 1st District, and Carol Shea-Porter in the 2nd district. All this "before" Senator Kerry's botched joke which Republicans have called a "gift" in the sprint to Election Day. Q Has there been any NH FALLOUT from Kerry's remarks?? |
| Election '06 Conv Return to index of stories... |
Q ANY NH fallout from Kerry's remarks? Q Kerry/Hodes campaign stop for Sunday is off? ***** The BIG suprise: The NUMBERS. Conventional Wisdom had Charlie Bass's 2nd district the race to watch -- NOW you can add the 2nd district. Q JUST how CLOSE are the Congressional RACES? BETH: UNH TRACKING poll has HODES ahead of Charlie Bass in the 2nd District. So, what Happened?? Q Democrats spending BIG money on Tv ADS for HODES ??? even more in waning days??? Q Democrats IGNORED 1st District with Carol SHEA PORTER -- should they RETHINK that strategy in the final days??? ** Are we seeing some of the sentiment HERE in NH???? ** A Wall Street Journal Poll: Public support for the GOP -controlled Congress is at its lowest level in 14 years. For the first time -- more than 50% of Americans support DEMOCRATIC control. 1994 Landslide brought GOP to power -- could we see that again? ========== REFERENDUM ON PRES Q Mid term elections -- generally a Referendum on the president. Given Mr Bush's UNPOPULARITY -- what does that mean ? The democratic wave so many have talked about?? IRAQ war and President's Policies the "DEFINING" Issue ???? Q In Paul Hodes ADS.he ties Charlie Bass to the President and his policies. The mantra: The Bush/Bass policy. EFFECTIVE??? against Charlie Bass's -- NO one tells me how to vote??? Q In The Bradley/Shea-Porter debates.IRAQ and the time frame for getting troops out.a MAJOR DEBATES: Q What about the recent DEBATES? Did they Help or HURT the Incumbents. Q Carol SHEA-PORTER.virtual unknown outside the Seacoast at Primary time -- NOW, look at the numbers. Did the statewide DEBATES.turn the tide???? or, is it an anti-Republican wave-- Q Paul Hodes -- Is he a different candidate than last time out -- or is he benefiting from the anti Republican sentiment. ================== GOVERNOR'S RACE: ================== The latest UNH POLL numbers show John Lynch with a COMMANDING lead over Republican Challenger Jim Coburn. I'm hearing the world LANDSLIDE. Q With little motivation for REPUBLICANS to get out vote in the Gov Race what impact will that have on the STATE house and Senate races? Q Could we see the SENATE go Democratic? Q NH HOUSE.republican-controlled / 150 yrs. Could Democrats actually gain CONTROL of BOTH houses. Q Was Jim Coburn able to pick up any traction out of the DEBATES??? Q If NUMBERS hold true -- would LYNCH'S margin of victory be a RECORD? === TURNOUT ======== Q Sec of State Gardner predicting a 47% TURNOUT. How UNUSUAL is that in a year where the GOVERNOR'S race isn't a TIGHT ONE. Q Evangelical Scandal with Prominent Pastor with links to the White House resigning in a sex scandal -- The Religous Right Poll Numbers in SENATE races: 48% vote Democrat, 36% vote Republican in House Races 45% vote Democrat, 36% will go Republican. EXECUTIVE COUNCIL ==================== q DISTRICT 3 RACE the one to watch where 2 Political veterans -- are battling for Ruth Griffin's seat -- which she held for 20 years. It's Sen Chuck Morse of Salem vs former Sen Beverly Hollingworth, a Hampton Democrat Any PREDICTIONS??? SAFE to say Most don't know what Executive Council does?? BALLOT QUESTIONS ======================= Question 2: if passed would change how State House districts are drawn. What does it DO? Is this a PARTISAN issue???? *** Question1: Tightens govt restrictions on Eminent Domain Powers. A lot of money spent on ads to vote YES. Opponents of the constitutional amendment harder to find? ============ END RACES to watch??? What will you be looking for November 7th? |
| Shea-Porter-Bradley Return to index of stories... |
Bradley, Shea-Porter spar on Iraq, ethics, immigration dewconw CONWAY, N.H. - In New Hampshire's First District Congressional race, Congressman Jeb Bradley and Democratic challenger Carol Shea-Porter met once again in debate last night, sparring over how long it should take for Iraq's army to get on its feet so U.S. troops can leave. Shea-Porter said if the United States is waiting for the Iraqis to be the key, American forces will never get out. Bradley said Iraq, through its own government and forces, will have to take the lead in stablizing the country, if it is going to be a safe country and not a launching ground for terrorism. The candidates met in Conway. AP-NY-11-02-06 1046EST |
| Gov. Race Return to index of stories... |
Governor: Republican Jim Coburn, a state rep from Windham, challenges incumbent. state rep from Windham, challenges incumbent Democrat John Lynch of Hopkinton. Both were successful businessmen leading comfortable. WMUR / UNH New Hampshire Tracking Poll November 1, 2006 DURHAM, N.H. - Democratic Governor John Lynch has a commanding lead over Republican challenger Jim Coburn in the latest New Hampshire Survey Center poll. The poll shows 71 percent of likely voters voting for Lynch and 18 percent voting for Coburn. DURHAM, N.H. - The latest University of New Hampshire Survey Center poll on the gubernatorial race shows Democrat John Lynch with a commanding lead over Republican challenger Jim Coburn. The poll, for WMUR-TV, shows 71 percent of likely voters voting for Lynch and 18 percent voting for Coburn. The phone poll of 508 likely voters conducted October 29th through the 31st has a sampling error of plus or minus four-point-four percentage points. The impact of Lynch's lead is being felt in races for the state Legislature, where Republicans now hold majorities in both the House and Senate. When asked if they plan to vote for the Republican or Democratic candidate for the state Senate, 48 percent of likely voters say they plan to vote for the Democrat and 36 percent for the Republicans. Asked about House candidates, 45 percent said they plan to vote for Democrats in their district, compared to 36 percent who plan to vote Republican. LYNCH HOLDS WIDE LEAD IN NH GOVERNOR’S RACE Durham, NH Incumbent governor John Lynch holds a wide lead over his Republican challenger, Jim Coburn, in the race for Governor of New Hampshire These findings are based on the 2006 WMUR / UNH New Hampshire Tracking Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. This survey is sponsored by WMUR-TV Manchester and the University of New Hampshire. Five hundred eight likely New Hampshire voters were interviewed between October 29 and October 31, 2006. The potential sampling error for the survey is ±4.4%. For complete press release and tabular results, click: http:/www.unh.edu/survey-center/trk110106.pdf Andrew E. Smith Director, The Survey Center Thompson Hall University of New Hampshire Durham, NH 03824 603.862.2226 www.unh.edu/survey-center |
| elec turnout Return to index of stories... |
CONCORD, N.H. - New Hampshire's Secretary of State is predicting a higher-than-usual turnout for next week's election. Bill Gardner says there are more contested races in the state for the House and county seats and that's likely to attract more voters to the polls. He's predicting turnout of more than 47 percent of registered voters in a year where the governor's race is getting less attention because Governor John Lynch is so popular. Gardner says the two competitive congressional races also are likely to draw out voters. Turnout is not expected to be as high as it was for the last midterm elections in 2002 when there was a hotly contested Senate race between former Governor Jeanne Shaheen and Senator John Sununu. Gardner says he's expecting roughly 25 thousand people to register on election day. He predicts most of those will be people who've moved since the last election but he says he expects about ten thousand to be new voters. AP-NY-11-02-06 1125EST |
| Intro Mock Election Return to index of stories... |
As always, My thanks to Kevin Landrigan, Tom Fahey and James Pindell for their perspectives. We'll get you all back next week for the POST election show. If kids are any judge as to who will win on Tuesday -- the incuments can breath easy. On Thursday, thousands of elementary and high school students, across the state, participated in a Mock Election -- voting for "their" favorite congressional and gubernatorial candidates. The results of the Mock Election were tallied at NHPTV's studio on Thursday night. |
| Tag Mock Election Return to index of stories... |
The results of the Mock Election represent 35 of 70 schools that reported in Thursday night. During the 12 year history of the Mock Election, the students have been wrong once. In 2004, they chose then incumbent Craig Benson over John Lynch for governor. |
| Goodbye Return to index of stories... |
As we close out the program -- we give a special thanks to our hosts here at the NH Political Library in Concord. And, Thank you for watching NH Outlook -- where NH talks. I'm Beth Carroll, I'll see you around NH. |
| Web Promo Return to index of stories... |
VERSION ONE: Did you know that New Hampshire Outlook is available online on demand at nhptv.org? We've been streaming our broadcasts since the program premiered in September 2000. Whether you want to watch this show again, email it to a friend, search and watch past programs or get more information on thousands of stories and topics, you'll find it all at nhptv.org/outlook. VERSION TWO: Would you like to watch this show again? Maybe you want to email it to a friend? Are you looking for more information about our New Hampshire stories and interviews? You can do all that and more at nhptv.org/outlook. VERSION THREE: Would you like to watch this show again or email it to a friend? You can do all that and more at nhptv.org/outlook. |
| FILL COPY Return to index of stories... |
Which has obscuring discussin on all the other issues. last sprint to Election Day And what happened today is an object lesson in how, in this day and age, an idle political remark gets seized upon, becomes fodder for the talk shows, the blogs, and the politicians, and suddenly obscures discussion of all other issues. much of the talk this election year, the debate is over Iraq. Iraq, American soldiers, and who said what about them. A lot is at stake.as voters head to the polls to cast ballots. MANCHESTER – First Lady Laura Bush urged a group of state Republican volunteers yesterday to get on telephones and knock on doors to ask that voters return Charles Bass and Jeb Bradley to the U.S. House. With some pundits predicting a strong Democratic showing in next Tuesday's election both in New Hampshire and nationally, the White House dispatched Mrs. Bush to the Granite State to thank volunteers in advance "for all the hard work you're going to do in the next week." The visit was part of a week of campaigning by the First Lady in about a dozen states. Mrs. Bush said that when she and President George W. Bush meet with troops who have been wounded in Iraq and the families of those who have died, they are asked "that we honor the sacrifice of these men and women by seeing their mission through." First lady Laura Bush is surrounded by supporters yesterday during a stop at the Executive Court banquet facility in Manchester yesterday. "Charlie Bass and Jeb Bradley stand with our troops," she said. "They understand that this election is critical to the future of our country and they know that America faces challenges too important to be reduced to just politics." She also said Bass and Bradley support the President's tax cuts and efforts to preserve natural resources. A function room at the Executive Court banquet facility was far from full as Mrs. Bush entered with Bass and Sen. Judd Gregg to greet Bradley, gubernatorial hopeful Jim Coburn and Sen. John Sununu. Organizers said 231 attended, but other estimates put the number closer to 150. Sununu and state party Chair Wayne Semprini said it was not meant to be a huge political rally, but rather an intimate way to thank those who had volunteered to phone bank either prior to the event yesterday morning or at state GOP offices during the week. Semprini said 300 to 400 people had signed up to volunteer, but he said, "I'm sure there will be some attrition." He denied rumors that he had lifted a requirement to allow only those who had volunteered to work on phone banks to be admitted to the event. Bass explained, "We only had a couple of days' warning and the effort was to get the loyal workers, many of whom are putting in literally hundreds of hours of time, to have an opportunity to meet on a somewhat personal basis with the First Lady. didn't advertise this as New Hampshire-wide rally. It's not meant to be that." The President's consistently low approval ratings have prompted Democrats here and across the country to tie Republicans to the President, especially on the Iraq war issue. Yesterday, the state Democratic Party charged Bass has supported Bush's "failed policy in Iraq" 100 percent of the time, as well as Bush's "giveaway" energy plan, while voting with the GOP-led Congress 87 percent of the time. Bass has portrayed himself as being independent of either political party. But after sharing the stage with Mrs. Bush, Bass said, "I'm proud to be a Republican. I'm proud to support the President on tax relief, on winning the war on terror, but when I disagree with him, I disagree with him. But that doesn't mean that I don't support him or that he doesn't support me." The First Lady's visit marked the first of several state GOP events set up for the final drive toward election day. A bus tour on Friday will feature former New York City mayor and potential 2008 Presidential hopeful Rudolph Giuliani and a statewide canvassing effort has been organized for Saturday by New York Gov. George Pataki's political action committee. Democrats will bring in former 9/11 commission member and former Sen. Bob Kerrey tomorrow to campaign for 2nd District U.S. House candidate Paul Hodes. Mrs. Bush said Bradley and Bass "are helping New Hampshire by increasing employment opportunities." She said Bass has "improved the business climate for New Hampshire entrepreneurs" in the 2nd District and Bradley has eased the tax burden for thousands of small New Hampshire companies in the 1st District. She said Bradley has "also secured more than $4 million in federal funding to expand I-93" and "led the effort to save the Portsmouth Naval Shipyard." By supporting the President's tax cuts, she said, both congressmen "helped add 6.6 million new jobs since 2003." The First Lady said Bass has promoted alternative fuels use, while he and Bradley have acted to designated the White Mountain National Forest as protected wilderness. She lauded their support for the Individuals with Disabilities Education Act and said they have supported funding for veterans programs and "to make sure our troops have the resources they need to keep themselves and our country safe." Earlier, Bradley told the group, "You know me. I'm going to support our troops. Make sure that people know that in this election." Semprini said that although the Democrats have raised more money than the GOP this year, the Republican message of low taxes and less government trumps the opposition. "We're not as flush as I'd like to be, but I think we have other things that will get people psyched up," he said. |
| Key: state politics / government Return to index of stories... |
NEW HAMPSHIRE OUTLOOK Air Date/Time: 11/5/2006 HOST: Beth Carroll Length: 23:00 NOW on New Hampshire Outlook, where NH Talks: An Election Preview!! Journalists weigh in and so do NH students who cast their own ballots in a mock election. This week we're broadcasting from the NH Political Library, inside the State Library in Concord. A fitting backdrop as we explore NH politics and Tuesday's election. Hello, I'm Beth Carroll. Welcome to New Hampshire Outlook. It's a high stakes year in politics -- with the control of Congress up for grabs. NH, like 36 other states, is also facing a Gubernatorial challenge. Turnout is expected to be "higher-than-usual" in NH.given the state's 2 very competitive Congressional races. Here to talk about all that and more: Kevin Landrigan from the Telegraph,Tom Fahey from the Union Leader, and James Pindell, the NH Political Reporter for the Boston Globe. A warm welcome to all of you. PRODUCER/REPORTER: Beth Carroll NAME OF PARTICIPANTS: Kevin Landrigan\The Telegraph, Tom Fahey\Union Leader, James Pindell\NH Political Reporter, Boston Globe |
| Key: state politics / government Return to index of stories... |
NEW HAMPSHIRE OUTLOOK Air Date/Time: 11/5/2006 HOST: Beth Carroll Length: 3:00 NOW on New Hampshire Outlook, where NH Talks: An Election Preview!! Journalists weigh in and so do NH students who cast their own ballots in a mock election. This week we're broadcasting from the NH Political Library, inside the State Library in Concord. A fitting backdrop as we explore NH politics and Tuesday's election. Hello, I'm Beth Carroll. Welcome to New Hampshire Outlook. If kids are any judge as to who will win on Tuesday -- the incuments can breath easy. On Thursday, thousands of elementary and high school students, across the state, participated in a Mock Election -- voting for "their" favorite congressional and gubernatorial candidates. The results of the Mock Election were tallied at NHPTV's studio on Thursday night. PRODUCER/REPORTER: NAME OF PARTICIPANTS: Susan Adams\NHPTV Event Organizer, Nancy McEachern\Teacher, John Stark Regional HS, Kayla Coutuier\Student, Carol Shea-Porter\ 1st Congressional District Candidate, Amelia Gallup\Student, Alex Milewski\Student |
| Key: youth Return to index of stories... |
NEW HAMPSHIRE OUTLOOK Air Date/Time: 11/5/2006 HOST: Beth Carroll Length: 3:00 NOW on New Hampshire Outlook, where NH Talks: An Election Preview!! Journalists weigh in and so do NH students who cast their own ballots in a mock election. This week we're broadcasting from the NH Political Library, inside the State Library in Concord. A fitting backdrop as we explore NH politics and Tuesday's election. Hello, I'm Beth Carroll. Welcome to New Hampshire Outlook. If kids are any judge as to who will win on Tuesday -- the incuments can breath easy. On Thursday, thousands of elementary and high school students, across the state, participated in a Mock Election -- voting for "their" favorite congressional and gubernatorial candidates. The results of the Mock Election were tallied at NHPTV's studio on Thursday night. PRODUCER/REPORTER: NAME OF PARTICIPANTS: Susan Adams\NHPTV Event Organizer, Nancy McEachern\Teacher, John Stark Regional HS, Kayla Coutuier\Student, Carol Shea-Porter\ 1st Congressional District Candidate, Amelia Gallup\Student, Alex Milewski\Student |