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The fall presidential campaign is off and running with Republican presidential candidates going head to head in Durham. A look at where things go from here.NOW on New Hampshire Outlook. Where NH talks. |
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The University of NH playing host to the first "big" debate of the fall campaign season. 8 Republican presidential hopefuls facing off Wednesday night hoping to "stand out" in a crowded field. Hello, I'm Beth Carroll. Welcome to NH Outlook. I'm here inside the Whittemore Center on the UNH campus in Durham where the debate set is being deconstructed. On this "day after" -- the big question now is where do GOP candidates stand with the "first" fall debate under their belts? Here to talk about that: James Pindell, the Political Reporter and author of the Primary Source election blog for the Boston Globe, Dante Scala, an associate professor of political science at the University of NH, and Stephen Boutwell, a UNH student with the "First in the Nation Project" aimed at educating students about the primaries. Everything up to now has been the Pre-Season. Now, the REAL season begins. So.coming out of this debate -- who got the biggest bounce?? |
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Often said Labor Day marks a change in the political season. That's when most voters really start to pay attention. Q Let's talk about the candidate NOT in the room.Fred Thompson. what does he need to do to hit the ground running. who loses the most with Thompsons' entre into the race John McCain being called the sept suprise. He was the presumed frontrunner in Jan == now he's struggling to be player. Enter Thompson. McCain.shied from any criticism of Mr. Giuliani, whom he describes as a friend and often praises. Q Thompson skipped the NH debate -- will that hurt him in the NH primary where voters want face-to-face answers??? it is a three-way tie among Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, and Fred Thompson. Thompson will have a bigger audience, that's for sure, then a presidential debate during the primaries. Look, Q former house speaker Newt Gingrich might enter race later this year.predictions Q Let's talk numbers. the national poll shows Rudy Giuliani in the lead with 28 percent. But look who is second — Fred Thompson, 16 percent, ahead of Mitt Romney and John McCain, both. In IA, NH & SC Mitt Romney is leading in 2 of those states, Rudy Giuliani is second, but there is Fred Thompson in 3rd. doing nicely especially in South Carolina, where he is a at 20 percent. Q Home prices going down, gas prices going up.war dragging on. ? Q Fundraising.stronger on demo Q The battle for conservative voters Q Lets talk about the expectations game. Q Mitt Romney & Rudy Guiliani -- going after each other on the stump and in ads -- John McCain needs to generate some excitement.did he get any -- and if not -- what next? Q Can Mike Huckabee -- break into the first tier of candidates after his debate showing? YOUTH VOTE Q Students getting a front row seat Q In 2006, young voter turnout increased for the second major election in a row as 2 million more 18- 29 year olds went to the polls on Election Day. As we look to how this large, diverse, and increasingly active electorate will impact the 2008 elections, Q Stephen, Self-proclaimed republican.you write about debates -- and town hallmeetings.following the candidates.what issues are resonating with young people? Clearly, courting and winning young voters should be a priority for the political parties. Not only can the sheer size and growing engagement of young adults help win close elections today, but can help build political power for the future. For more on this research and how it impacts politics today, see Partisanship is Habit-Forming. A new Pew Research CenThe Pew report, "A Portrait of 'Generation Next,'" states that in 2006, 48% of 18-25 year olds identify as Democratic and 35% as Republican. Q In past, campaigns waited til weeks before election before they paid attention to the youth vote -- Now, campaigns started to focus early. Q Pew Research found that more than HALF of those 17-to 29 say they intend to vote for a democrat. Dante what does that tell us? Concerns about a draft believe Republicans more likely to institute. Q Rep Idaho Senator Larry Craig NOT resigning -- impact on the campaign. Q The McCain campaign -- WHAT HAPPENED? Q Who are the top tier candidates? Who would you say is the sleeper GOP candidate? Mike Huckabee Ron Paul.likes to say things.to get public attention. Q The debate comes 4 months before the Primary -- First in the nation primary.a must win for one democrat & 2 republicans Q candidates want to make sure to differentiate themselves in the eyes of voters, now. Q Tancredo has staked his long-shot campaign for president on his vehement opposition to illegal immigration. MISTAKE? PRIMARY Michigan has joined as many as 6 other states in disregarding Republican Party rules by scheduling presidential primaries or caucuses before February 5th. But the early voting states risk losing half their delegates to the Republican convention next summer. However, some are banking that whoever wins the GOP nomination will eventually restore the delegates. |
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CANDIDATES: John McCain -- Arizona Senator - 2000 candidate Rudy Giuliani -- former NYC Mayor Sam Brownback -- Kansas Senator Duncan Hunter -- CA Congressman Tommy Thompson-- Fmr Wisconsin Governor Ron Paul - TX Congressman Tom Tancredo - CO Congressman Mike Huckabee -- Arkansas Gov |
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The war on terror, immigration and gay marriage are expected to take the forefront for GOP presidential hopefuls converging in New Hampshire this evening for a Republican party sponsored debate. And, although "unannounced" presidential candidate Fred Thompson won't be sparring with his political competitors tonight in person, he is expected to air a political ad during the debate. Thompson is expected to officially announce his intentions Thursday. IT WILL BE A BIG NIGHT IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. FOUR MONTHS BEFORE THE PRIMARY. 8 G-O-P CONTENDERS WILL FACE OFF IN THE FIRST DEBATE OF THE FALL CAMPAIGN SEASON. ITS MORE THAN LIKELY CANDIDATES WILL HAVE TO ANSWER SOME OF THE SAME QUESTIONS THEY FACED WHILE STUMPING IN NEW HAMPSHIRE TUESDAY. LIKE IRAQ. ---SOT--- :27-:39 If we get out too quickly, and we Mitt Romney don't have any stability left as a Presidential Candidate result of pulling out abruptly, we C-SPAN could ignite not only a massive civil war within iraq, but we could also ignite that throughout the region. ---TRACK--- OR EVEN SOME QUESTIONS THAT JUST MIGHT CATCH THEM OFF GUARD. SENATOR JOHN MCCAIN GOT A TASTE OF THAT AT A STUDENT FORUM. WHEN HE WAS ASKED WHAT HE WOULD do FOR THE RIGHTS OF LESBIAN, GAY, BISEXUAL AND TRANSGENDER PEOPLE, ALSO KNOWN AS L-G-B-T'S. ---SOT--- QUESTION: What do you plan to do about the lgbt rights? 1:00-1:09 McCain: I don't understand.lesbian, Sen. John McCain gar, transgered? I had not heard that Presidential Candidate phrase before. ---TRACK--- SOON TO BE CANDIDATE FRED THOMPSON WON'T ATTEND THE DEBATE, BUT HE IS EXPECTED TO MAKE AN APPEARANCE. OFFICIALS WITH THE NEW HAMPSHIRE REPUBLICAN PARTY SAY THOMPSON HAS A 30 SECOND AD. THAT'S SLATED TO AIR ON FOX RIGHT BEFORE IT AIRS THE DEBATE. ---SAMANTHA ON CAM--- 1:24-1:30 ALSO ON THE AGENDA FOR WEDNESDAY. Samantha Hayes DEMOCRAT HILLARY CLINTON IS EXPECTED TO Washington, DC GIVE A SPEECH IN PHILADELPHIA. IN WASHINGTON, I'M SAMANTHA HAYES. CNN-ATL 09-04-07 2204EST |
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AP-GOP-Primaries 7 states expected to file GOP primary calendars in violation of rules WASHINGTON - Michigan has joined as many as six other states in disregarding Republican Party rules by scheduling presidential primaries or caucuses before February 5th. Michigan's governor has signed a bill moving both of the state's presidential primaries to January 15th, making the state part of an unprecedented early start to the nominating process. Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Nevada, Florida and Wyoming are also expected to vote in January. But the early voting states risk losing half their delegates to the Republican convention next summer. However, some are banking that whoever wins the GOP nomination will eventually restore the delegates. Today was the deadline for states to submit to the Republican National Committee the date and format of their primaries or caucuses. But some states may continue jockeying for earlier votes. AP-NY-09-04-07 1831EDT LEAD IN-- SOME STATES ARE TRYING TO MOVE UP THE DATES OF THEIR PRIMARIES. AND IT'S LED TO A MAJOR POLITICAL BATTLE IN THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY. BILL SCHNEIDER IS COVERING THE STORY. --REPORTER PKG-AS FOLLOWS-- WHAT IF YOU GAVE A PRIMARY AND NOBODY CAME? THAT COULD HAPPEN IN FLORIDA AND MICHIGAN, WHICH ARE TRYING TO HOLD EARLY PRIMARIES. SIX DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES HAVE SIGNED A PLEDGE NOT TO CAMPAIGN IN STATES THAT JUMP THE GUN. WAIT A MINUTE. DEMOCRATS ARE SAYING THEY'RE NOT GOING TO CAMPAIGN IN MICHIGAN, THE HOMELAND OF ORGANIZED LABOR? AND FLORIDA, WHERE AL GORE WAS JUST A FEW CHADS SHORT OF BECOMING PRESIDENT? WHAT DOES THAT MEAN? IT MEANS THAT IOWA AND NEW HAMPSHIRE ARE STILL AS IMPORTANT AS EVER. MAYBE MORE IMPORTANT. WANT EVIDENCE? LOOK AT WHERE THE CANDIDATES SPENT LABOR DAY WEEKEND. IOWA -- DEMOCRATS HILLARY CLINTON AND JOHN EDWARDS. REPUBLICANS JOHN MCCAIN AND FRED THOMPSON. NEW HAMPSHIRE -- DEMOCRATS BARACK OBAMA AND CHRIS DODD AND BILL RICHARDSON. REPUBLICAN MITT ROMNEY. ANYBODY IN FLORIDA OR MICHIGAN? NOPE. WILL THE CANDIDATES DARE TO IGNORE THOSE VOTE-RICH STATES? YEP. IT COSTS A LOT OF MONEY TO CAMPAIGN IN THOSE BIG STATES. The contest for the nomination for the presidency should be based on substance, real ideas and who should actually change the country, who has the personal characteristics to be president, not a fundraising contest. BUT HILLARY CLINTON AND BARACK OBAMA SIGNED THE PLEDGE, AND THEY'VE GOT THE MONEY TO CAMPAIGN IN FLORIDA AND MICHIGAN. BUT THEY DARE NOT INSULT IOWA AND NEW HAMPSHIRE. OBAMA AND EDWARDS ARE HOPING TO SCORE A BREAKTHROUGH IN IOWA, WHERE THE TOP THREE DEMOCRATS ARE VIRTUALLY TIED. IF THAT HAPPENS, CLINTON WILL HAVE TO RELY ON NEW HAMPSHIRE TO MAKE HER THE COMEBACK KID. EVERYONE AGREES THE PRIMARY SYSTEM NEEDS FIXING. BUT THEY ALSO AGREE ON SOMETHING ELSE. We need to fix it, and we need to preserve the Iowa caucuses. DON'T MESS WITH IOWA AND NEW HAMPSHIRE. THEY STILL CALL THE SHOTS. --SCHNEIDER STANDUP TAG-- The whole idea of letting Iowa and New Hampshire go first is that they are small. They require face-to-face campaigning. To run in Florida and Michigan, you have to spend a lot of money on TV ads. But those poor voters may not see as many ads as they had hoped. Bill Schneider, CNN, Washington. -----END-----CNN.SCRIPT CNN-ATL 09-03-07 1909EST NH voters prefer Saturday primary By BENJAMIN KEPPLE New Hampshire Union Leader Staff Sunday, Aug. 12, 2007 Manchester – Saturday is a better day than Tuesday to hold New Hampshire's first-in-the-nation presidential primary, according to an informal UnionLeader.com survey. About 56 percent of the 194 Granite Staters who responded to the survey preferred holding the primary on a Saturday. About 22 percent said Tuesday was preferable, while another 22 percent said it didn't matter. Those responding to the survey said a Saturday primary would boost turnout and generally prove more convenient. "People often complain about low voter turnout, so why not?" wrote Manchester resident William Smith, a likely voter in the state's GOP contest. "Also, it's difficult for a lot of people to get out of work and go vote, which means there's larger numbers of people at the polls before and after work. Why not on a day where fewer people work and can vote at any point during the day?" The question of whether to hold New Hampshire's first-in-the-nation primary on a day other than Tuesday comes as other states jockey for position behind Iowa and New Hampshire, which traditionally lead off the major parties' nominating process. Last week, the chairman of South Carolina's Republican Party said he would hold his party's primary on Saturday, Jan. 19, a move taken after Florida moved up its own primaries to Jan. 29. Under New Hampshire law, South Carolina's decision means our primary could be held no later than Saturday, Jan. 12. But if the primary is held on a Tuesday as they have been in the past, it would put Iowa in a tough spot. Iowa has its own law requiring its caucus to be held eight days prior to any other caucus or primary, and a Jan. 8 primary in New Hampshire could theoretically push Iowa's caucus back to New Year's Eve or before Christmas. But Iowa's governor has said the state will do "everything that it takes" to ensure its caucuses will be held in January. All this has led to talk that New Hampshire might hold its primary on a day other than Tuesday. "Amen. I hope it is on a Saturday," wrote Manchester resident Lawrence Lesieur, who didn't yet know whether he would vote in the Republican or Democratic contest. "I have missed some voting days due to work requirements. I bet it would change the outcome of elections." "It couldn't hurt to give it a try, especially if it could lead to a larger turnout," wrote Tilton resident Dave Craig, a likely voter in the Democratic contest. To be sure, there were those who didn't care for the idea. One writer said that extended voting hours on Tuesday provided people with enough of an opportunity to vote in person or via absentee ballot. Another writer said a Saturday primary would conflict with religious observances, as well as make it hard for those working Saturdays to vote. But for others, keeping the state's primary the first in the nation was the most important thing. "I think any day of the week is appropriate. I want New Hampshire to have the first primary and if that means we vote on a Sunday, so be it," wrote Fremont resident Joanna Theberge, a likely voter in the Democratic contest. 40 percent of the respondents said they were more likely to vote in New Hampshire's Republican primary, 39 percent were more likely to vote in the Democratic contest and the rest weren't sure. Most of the respondents, 64 percent, were from south-central New Hampshire, while about 18 percent were from the Seacoast. Secretary of State William Gardner, who decides when the Granite State will hold its primary, has said he would prefer Tuesday, but has not ruled out holding the primary on a different day. On the national scene, other factors also remain up in the air -- such as what Michigan could do. Powerful Democrats in the Great Lakes State have long detested what they call Iowa and New Hampshire's "privileged" status in the nominating process, and Democrats there have pledged to move their party's caucus to the same day as the Granite State's primary. |
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--LEAD IN-- FORMER U.S. SENATOR FRED THOMPSON IS EXPECTED TO ANNOUNCE HIS CANDIDACY FOR PRESIDENT ON THURSDAY. ANALYSTS ARE WONDERING WHAT EFFECT THIS WILL HAVE ON THE OTHER CANDIDATES. CANDY CROWLEY REPORTS. --REPORTER PKG-AS FOLLOWS-- IN POLITICS, JOHN MCCAIN IS THE SEPTEMBER SURRPIZE. JANUARY'S PRESUMED FRONT RUNNER STRUGGLING TO BE A PLAYER. HIS POSITION ON IMMIGRATION TURNED OFF CONSERVATIVES.INDEPENDENTS DON'T LIKE HIS SUPPORT OF THE WAR.HIS FUNDS ARE LIMITED AND NOW, A NEW ENTRY.ET TU FRED THOMPSON? as you know he and i have been good friends for many years and i welcome him to the race THOMPSON GETS IN THURSDAY.JUST HOURS AFTER A REPOUBLICAN DEBATE DURING WHICH HE PLANS TO BE ON THE TONIGHT SHOW. THE FORMER SENATOR AND LAW AND ORDER ACTOR IS STEALING THE SHOW.AND THREATENING TO SHAKE UP BUT NOT SETTLE THE REPUBLICAN RACE fred thompson changes the dynamic in that he could coalesce the conservative base - that would probably hurt mitt romney the most. it could leave then rudy giuliani almost with the sort of moderate republican base to himself. CAMP ROMNEY BETS HE CAN HOLD HIS GROUND--NOTING ROMNEY HAS ALOT OF MONEY, 9 MONTHS , AND MANY MILES ON THE NEWCOMER. there's nothing that can substitute for the face to face time that you get to spend in an election year IF HE CAN HOLD OFF THOMPSON, ROMNEY LOOKS FOR EARLY STATE VICTORIES TO HELP HIM UNRAVEL RUDY GULIANI WHO HOLDS A STEADY, BUT NOT UPWARD BOUND LEAD IN NATIONAL POLLS.--HE SELLS HIMSELF AS THE MAN BEST SUITED TO COMBAT TERRORISM AND MOST LIKELY TO BEAT HILLARY CLINTON. STEADY AS SHE GOES, CLINTON HAS A FACE THAT SAYS CHANGE, A RESUME THAT SAYS EXPERIENCE, AND POLL NUMBERS THAT SAY UNDISPUTED FRONTRUNNER-- WHO HAS, BY THE WAY SOME HEAVY DUTY REINFORCEMENT. SHE THREATENS TO RUNOVER CHIEF RIVALS JOHN EDWARDS AND BARAK OBAMA WHOSE FALL IMPERATIVE IS TO PROVE HE'S GOT THE CHOPS TO RUN THE COUNTRY you know people know me in terms of name but they get the sense that i've sort of popped onto the scene two years ago as opposed to knowing the track record of working as a civil rights lawyer, as a community organizer as a state legislator POUNDING THE POPULIST ROAD TO THE WHITE HOUSE, JOHN EDWARDS HAS FOCUSED HIS EFFORTS ON EARLY STATE VICTORIES TO REMOVE THE AURA OF INEVITABILITY THE CLINTON CAMPAIGN IS SO BUSY PUTTING TOGETHER -----END-----CNN.SCRIPT CNN-ATL 09-04-07 1803EST MILFORD – Presidential hopeful Mitt Romney on Monday said he would welcome Republican rival Fred Thompson to the race, but is no hurry to have him out campaigning. Thompson, the “Law & Order” actor and former U.S. senator from Tennessee, is expected to enter the race this week. Instead of attending a Wednesday night debate in Durham, Thompson will be Los Angeles to appear on “The Tonight Show with Jay Leno.” “I think it will boost the ratings for Jay Leno’s show, but I’d rather be doing well in New Hampshire,” said Romney, who is leading in most polls in this early voting state. Thompson’s candidacy has been a shadow on the GOP contest. He has equivocated about getting into the race, while his campaign organization has been in flux. His entry comes remarkably late in a campaign cycle that began days after the 2006 midterm elections. “Well, I guess the only comment I’d make to Fred Thompson would be: Why the hurry? Why not take a little longer to think this over?” Romney told reporters. “From my standpoint, if he wants to wait until January or February, that would be ideal.” Romney spent Monday opening his fall campaign, marching in the Labor Day parade in Milford and visiting retails stops elsewhere. He said voters would note who is there – and who is not. “I think people will notice there have been a bunch of guys who have been working real hard to get to know voters across the country,” Romney said. “I think he’ll have some fun. We’re going to presumably have some debates with him. We’ll have had five without him.” In other remarks, Romney stayed with one of his central campaign themes: A Democratic president would make the country less secure. “Hillary Clinton was here yesterday in New Hampshire, talking about changing America. There’s no question in my mind she would do her best to change America, but she would not take us in the direction that would lead to a stronger America. Instead she would raise taxes on the American people. That’s not the change we want,” he said. He added: “She’d also give amnesty to illegal aliens. That’s not the change we want. She would also have the government take over our health care system. That’s not the change we want.” The Clinton campaign quickly retaliated with a swipe at Romney’s record. “The only change Mitt Romney understands is changing his position on just about every issue,” said Clinton spokeswoman Kathleen Strand. Recent ROMNEY coverage |
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My thanks to James Pindell, Dante Scala, and Stephen Boutwell for their perspectives on the 2008 Presidential Race. That wraps up our program from the UNH Whittemore Center -- the site of the "first-in-the-fall" GOP presidential debate. NH still remains in the national spotlight with "Democratic" contenders scheduled to debate the issues at Dartmouth College in Hanover on September 26th. I'm Beth Carroll. Thanks for watching NH Outlook. I'll see you next time. |
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Often said Labor Day marks a change in the political season. That's when most voters really start to pay attention. Q Let's talk about the candidate NOT in the room.Fred Thompson. . Who LOSES the most with Thompson's entre in to the race? Q John McCain being called the SEPT suprise. He was the presumed frontrunner in Jan, now he's struggling to be player. What happened? What can he do to turn things around. Q McCain.shied from any criticism of Mr. Giuliani -- whom he describes as a friend and often praises - do the gloves come off now that the TRUE season has begun? Q Thompson skipped the NH debate -- will that hurt him in the NH primary where voters want face-to-face answers??? * Thompson will have a bigger audience then a presidential debate during the primaries. Q Certainly a NATIONAL audience for the debate. But, in the Whittemore center nearly a quarter of the audience was made up of YOUNG PEOPLE. Stephen - you're involved in what's called "First in the Nation Project" Define the project for us if you will - and what were you LOOKING for in the DEBATE? Q College students represent a large, and DIVERSE population. Are they Increasingly ACTIVE ? What impact on the 2008 elections? Q Stephen, Self-proclaimed republican. You've been following the campaign going to debates and town halls -- What issues are resonating with young people? Q What are campaigns doing to win and court young voters? Q A new Pew Research Poll on Generation NEXT found that 48% of them identify as DEMOCRATIC, 35% Republican. More than HALF say they intend to vote for DEMOCRAT. Dante.what should we read into that survey? Concerns about a draft believe Republicans more likely to institute. Q Who are the top tier candidates? Q Let's talk numbers. National Polls show Rudy Giuliani in the lead with 28 percent, Fred Thompson, 16 percent, ahead of Mitt Romney and John McCain, both. Is it a 3-way TIE among Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, and Fred Thompson? Q In Key primary/caucus states of IA, NH & SC Mitt Romney is leading in 2 of those states, Rudy Giuliani is second, Fred Thompson in 3rd. doing well in South Carolina, where he is a at 20 percent. Q John McCain needs to generate some excitement.did he get any -- and if not -- what next for his campaign ? Q Lets talk about the expectations game. Q Can Mike Huckabee -- break into the first tier of candidates after his debate showing? Q Former house speaker Newt Gingrich might enter race later this year.predictions? Q Republican Senator Larry Craig of Idaho NOT clear whether he'll be resigning. What if ANY impact does a story like this have on the campaign? Q Tom Tancredo has staked his campaign for president on his opposition to illegal immigration. He said NH lawmakers behind a bill that would prohibit enforcement of federal immigration laws - should be thrown out of office. Is this an issue with ANY TRACTION in NH? Q Home prices going down, gas prices going up.war dragging on. R S ? Q Fundraising.stronger on demo Q The battle for conservative voters Q Who would you say is the sleeper GOP candidate? Mike Huckabee Ron Paul.likes to say things.to get public attention. Q The debate comes 4 months before NH's "first-in-the-nation" Primary. Who is in the "Must-Win" Category? McCain 2000 Primary winner. In NH -- Independents outnumber dem & rep & they can vote in either primary. PRIMARY Michigan has joined as many as 6 other states in disregarding Republican Party rules by scheduling presidential primaries or caucuses before February 5th. But the early voting states risk losing half their delegates to the Republican convention next summer. However, some are banking that whoever wins the GOP nomination will eventually restore the delegates. |
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Monday on New Hampshire Outlook: Join us Monday at 7:30 only on New Hampshire Public Television. =============================== Tonight on New Hampshire Outlook: Join us tonight at 7:30 only on New Hampshire Public Television. |
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NEW HAMPSHIRE OUTLOOK Air Date/Time: 9/9/2007 HOST: Beth Carroll Length: 25:00 The University of New Hampshire plays host to the first big debate of the fall campaign season. Eight republican presidential hopefuls facing off Wednesday night hoping to stand out in a crowded field. Hello, I'm Beth Carroll. Welcome to NH Outlook. I'm here inside the Whittemore Center on the UNH campus in Durham where the debate set is being deconstructed. On this "day after," the big question is where the GOP candidates stand with this first fall debate under their belts? Here to talk about that, James Pindell, the Political Reporter and author of the Primary Source election blog for the Boston Globe, Dante Scala, an associate professor of political science at the University of NH, and Stephen Boutwell, a UNH student with the "First in the Nation Project," aimed at educating students about the primaries. PRODUCER/REPORTER: James Pindell\NH Political Reporter, Boston Globe, James Pindell\www.boston.com, Dante Scala \Prof. Political Science, UNH, Stephen Boutwell\UNH Student, Stephen Boutwell \"First in the Nation Project" |