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 SUN/MON PROMOReturn to index of stories... |
On the next New Hampshire Outlook: NH Votes 2008. As you get ready to cast your ballot, an election preview with the analysts. Sunday morning at 9:30. On the next New Hampshire Outlook: NH Votes 2008: As you get ready to cast your ballot, an election preview with the analysts. Monday night at 6:00. |
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Coming up, NH Votes 2008 and an election day preview. Next on New Hampshire Outlook. |
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A preview of Tuesday's election. Plus, a look at the impact of 3rd party candidates in the races And, the winners of New Hampshire's student mock election. |
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Welcome to New Hampshire Outlook's "NH Votes" 2008 coverage. Hello, I'm Beth Carroll. It's the final sprint of the 2008 presidential race. And, if the blitz of candidate and high-profile surrogate visits is "any" indication, NH is still in play. Hillary Clinton was here last week stumping for Barack Obama. On Sunday, former president Bill Clinton travels to New Hampshire.as does John McCain -who's expected back for his 6th visit since winning his party's nomination. Both are looking to put NH in their camp. Where do things stand as voters prepare to cast ballots? We check in with the pundits. |
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Here to talk about the Vote: UNH political scientist Dante Scala, Andy Smith, associate professor of Political Science at UNH & director of the UNH Survey Center, and James Pindell, founder of the political website, PolitickerNH.com, Welcome. Q How important is NH in this race? Q Does McCain need NH to win in the electoral Vote? Q If you look at Electoral College Maps.they all put NH in the "Leaning DEMOCRATIC" category? It went democratic in 04.McCain, trying to bring it back to GOP column. Q ANDY & Dante/ A Study on New VOTERS in NH -- Making granite state ONE to watch. Paint us a picture of NH's voter base? Q Youth vote.a factor. Q Is NH still considered a battlefield state? Q How much help will a Pres Clinton visit give to Obama in NH? Q How important are the last 48 hours of the race -- if you haven't won the hearts and souls of voters by now -- is there a chance to SWAY them in the final hours? Q Is this a referendum on President Bush? BAD year to be a REPUBLICAN. Q Everybody loves a horse race -- You've been doing tracking polls. What are the latest Numbers? Q Some National polls showing a tightening in the race -- what should we make of that? EVERY vote counts. Q Obama ahead in the polls in he primary -- but it was Hillary CLINTON that pulled off the win? Could we see a similar upset? Q How confident should we be that exit polls will be accurate this time around? Q UNH Tracking Poll Obama 58- 33 McCain / SUFFOLK Obama 53- McCain 40 %n Q What does McCain need to do in the waning days of the campaign to TURN things around? Q Money & Momentum certainly on Obama's side Obama Half hour commercial -- Never has more money been spent. mantle of george bush -- any way to shed that? |
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STATE RACES STRAIGHT TICKET voting is history in NH. Will this IMPACT the 08 Races at all? SENATE Thru out the campaign Season.the John Sununu/ Jeane Shaheen RE-MATCH has been THE ONE to watch. Q What do the latest polls show? 50/ 36% Q Suffolk Univ poll shows 2 candidates TIED among men -- but SHAHEEN crushing Sununu among WOMEN. WHY? Q Sununu was polling better in late Septemer. WHAT happened? Has the Current Economic Crisis impacted this race? Q If this SEAT goes DEMOCRATIC.would that give democrats a SUPER majority in the SENATE. Q Shaheen's ADS continue to tie Sununu to President BUSH Has this race become a referendum on the President? In recent debates -- John Sununu has largely been viewed as the WINNER. Any change in polling following these exchanges? Q SEC of state Bill Gardner talking about a HUGE turnout. WHO benefits from a STRONG turnout? TAXES FIRST DISTRICT Another REMATCH: Incumbent Carol Shea Porter vs former Congressman Jeb Bradley. Q What do the numbers show? Shea Porter 50 to Bradley's 37% Q 10% UNDECIDED. Are they likely to lean democratic? q Dante: You've said keep an eye on MANCHESTER.why? City could give early indication of how democrats are doing in NH? SECOND DISTRCT Democratic incumbent Paul Hodes vs Republian newcomer Jennnifer Horn. Hodes Maintains SOLD lead. Hodes 51% to 21% 27% undecided GOVERNOR'S RACE: Incumbent John Lynch vs State Sen Joe Kenney. LYNCH leads 71% to 15%. dynamics resemble Lynch's 2006 victory over Jim Coburn. |
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The "other" candidates on the ballot and their role in the election process. |
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Third party candidates are also looking to be heard in the last days of the campaign. They may not have the money or broad support that Democrats and Republicans have but that doesn't stop them from stumping in NH. Outlook's Phil Vaughn reports on the impact 3rd party candidates have on the races. |
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Sound of Phillies N1- Libertarian George Phillies wants to be President of the United States. Robert Kingsbury, also a Libertarian is running in NH's Congressional First District. Less than a week before the election, they're at the University of NH, speaking at an event sponsored by the Gay and Lesbian Alliance. Sound of the candidates Kingsbury - Phil - How has the campaign been going? Great … run fifteen times, this is the best. Phil How is different? People are interested…" N2- Of the major races, there are three third party candidates running for President - Ralph Nader, George Phillies and Bob Barr. In the big NH races, Susan Newell is running for Governor and Ken Blevens for US Senate. Robert Kingsbury and Chester LaPointe are competing in the two congressional districts. Other than Nader who is an Independent, all are Libertarians. Kingsbury - "We offer freedom…other parties are socialists." N3 - Recent polls have the third party candidates running in the low single digits. Most of their campaigns have largely been ignored by the media. Kingsbury - Phil - "How much attention have you been getting? Not much…working people are interested." Dante - "They've had minimal impact this time around." N4- Dante Scala is Chair of the Political Science Department at UNH. Dante - "We haven't seen Libertarians who are traditionally the most prominent third party… won't make the difference between a Dem or Rep winning." N5 - It hasn't always been that way says NH's Secretary of State William Gardner. Gardner - "The person who had the biggest impact…Ross Perot…" N6 - And then there was the election of 2000. Gardner - "Nader in 2000…difference between Bush and Gore." N7 - Scala says that won't happen this year. Scala - "The whole reason for Nader…couldn't carry the momentum they got in the Primary." Sound of Ted Lowi in classroom N8 - Ted Lowi teaches Political Science at Cornell University. He's also an author and long-time advocate for a three or more-party system. Lowi - "We're told that the two-party system is sacred…not all issues come in twos." Kingsbury - Phil - "What is the greatest value of third parties? What is of value…freedom at the local level." N9- Scala says third parties may be down for now but a reemergence will likely occur. Scala - "I think it would take a realignment…may take both." N10 - For NH Outlook, I'm Phil Vaughn. |
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In addition to the main races, there are also several third party candidates running for some County offices and State House seats. |
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A final footnote to our pre-election program, the results are in from New Hampshire's student Mock Election. More than 22-thousand K-thru-12 students from 94 schools cast their ballots last week. Who won? Barack Obama defeated John McCain for President. John Lynch was easily re-elected governor. Jeanne Shaheen beat out John Sununu for U-S Senate. Carol Shea-Porter defeated Jeb Bradley in the first Congressional District. And Paul Hodes bested Jennifer Horn in the 2nd Congressional District. NHPTV sponsored the MOCK election as part of the national youth civic engagement effort. For the final tallys in the mock election AND to view any of our debates in the NH races. go to our website -- nhptv.org/nhvotes2008. |
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That's all the time we have for this New Hampshire Outlook. Thanks for watching. Don't forget to cast your ballot on Tuesday. I'm Beth Carroll, I'll see you next time. |
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Did you have a reaction to any of the stories or interviews featured in this program? Did we miss anything or do you have suggestions for future Outlook espisodes? If so, we want to hear from you. Drop us an email at nhoutlook@nhptv.org. As always, you can find these stories and more online at nhptv.org/outlook. Connect with us online. New Hampshire Outlook is available online on demand at nhptv.org/outlook. We've been streaming our programs since Outlook premiered in September 2000. Whether you want to watch this show again, email it to a friend, search and watch past programs or get more information on thousands of stories and topics, you'll find it all at nhptv.org/outlook. |
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down-ballot Democrats a boost./ Obama has a particular interest in helping Senate candidates. While it's a longshot, it is possible that Democrats could reach 60 seats, which would be enough to prevent Republicans from blocking Democratic legislation. CONCORD, N.H. - New Hampshire voters will see slightly different ballots this Election Day.For decades, the ballots had boxes at the top that allowed voters to vote entirely for one party with one check. That has now changed, and the straight-ticket option is gone. CONCORD, N.H. - New Hampshire voters will see slightly different ballots this Election Day. For decades, the ballots had boxes at the top that allowed voters to vote entirely for one party with one check. That has now changed, and the straight-ticket option is gone. Analysts said the conventional wisdom on the part of Democrats used to be that straight-ticket voting benefited Republican candidates, but that all changed when Democrats swept the major state races in 2006. Secretary of State Bill Gardner said that those who want to vote for just one party will find this year's ballot easy to navigate and understand. The secretary of state's office estimated that in 2006, roughly one-third of New Hampshire voters cast straight ballots. AP-Campaign Ads McCain, GOP gain ground on Obama ads in key states WASHINGTON - John McCain and the Republican Party are now nearly matching Barack Obama ad for ad in key battleground markets as the election draws close. Ad spending and ad placement data obtained from Democratic and Republican operatives show McCain's voice has grown louder in states such as Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, Virginia and Pennsylvania. For instance, Obama had been scheduled to spend about $2.5 million on ads running in Florida over the last week of the campaign. McCain is set to spend about $1.6 million, while the Republican National Committee added $1.5 million -- incentive for Obama to spend even more. But increases in those states mean McCain has had to cut back in states like Minnesota, Maine, New Hampshire and Wisconsin, where Obama has been pulling away. AP-NY-10-30-08 0456EDT CONCORD, N.H. - Secretary of State William Gardner is predicting 750,000 people will vote Tuesday in New Hampshire. Gardner said 884,000 people were registered to vote as of Saturday. He said he expects 40,000 new voters to register on Election Day. MANCHESTER, N.H. - Democratic Gov. John Lynch says he'll have his hands full managing state government through tough economic times if he's elected to a third term. But Republican state Sen. Joe Kenney told television viewers Wednesday night that Lynch is steering the ship of state into income tax waters and can't be trusted to cut spending rather, than allow a broad-based tax ruin New Hampshire's quality of life. Lynch and Kenney squared off in their last debate before Tuesday's election. |
| Key: National Politics/Government Return to index of stories... |
NEW HAMPSHIRE OUTLOOK Air Date/Time: 11/2/2008 HOST: Beth Carroll Length: 19:53 A preview of Tuesday's election. Plus, a look at the impact of 3rd party candidates in the races And, the winners of New Hampshire's student mock election. Welcome to New Hampshire Outlook's "NH Votes" 2008 coverage. Hello, I'm Beth Carroll. It's the final sprint of the 2008 presidential race. And, if the blitz of candidate and high-profile surrogate visits is "any" indication, NH is still in play. Hillary Clinton was here last week stumping for Barack Obama. On Sunday, former president Bill Clinton travels to New Hampshire.as does John McCain -who's expected back for his 6th visit since winning his party's nomination. Both are looking to put NH in their camp. Where do things stand as voters prepare to cast ballots? We check in with the pundits. Here to talk about the Vote: UNH political scientist Dante Scala, Andy Smith, associate professor of Political Science at UNH & director of the UNH Survey Center, and James Pindell, founder of the political website, PolitickerNH.com, Welcome. PRODUCER/REPORTER: Beth Carroll NAME OF PARTICIPANTS: Andy Smith \UNH Survey Center, Dante Scala\Political Science Professor, UNH, James Pindell\National Managing Editor, PolitickerNH.com. |
| Key: Community Politics/ Government Return to index of stories... |
NEW HAMPSHIRE OUTLOOK Air Date/Time: 11/2/2008 HOST: Beth Carroll Length: 19:53 A preview of Tuesday's election. Plus, a look at the impact of 3rd party candidates in the races And, the winners of New Hampshire's student mock election. Welcome to New Hampshire Outlook's "NH Votes" 2008 coverage. Hello, I'm Beth Carroll. It's the final sprint of the 2008 presidential race. And, if the blitz of candidate and high-profile surrogate visits is "any" indication, NH is still in play. Hillary Clinton was here last week stumping for Barack Obama. On Sunday, former president Bill Clinton travels to New Hampshire.as does John McCain -who's expected back for his 6th visit since winning his party's nomination. Both are looking to put NH in their camp. Where do things stand as voters prepare to cast ballots? We check in with the pundits. Here to talk about the Vote: UNH political scientist Dante Scala, Andy Smith, associate professor of Political Science at UNH & director of the UNH Survey Center, and James Pindell, founder of the political website, PolitickerNH.com, Welcome. PRODUCER/REPORTER: Beth Carroll NAME OF PARTICIPANTS: Andy Smith \UNH Survey Center, Dante Scala\Political Science Professor, UNH, James Pindell\National Managing Editor, PolitickerNH.com. |
| Key: National Politics/Government Return to index of stories... |
NEW HAMPSHIRE OUTLOOK Air Date/Time: 11/2/2008 HOST: Beth Carroll Length: 4:20 A preview of Tuesday's election. Plus, a look at the impact of 3rd party candidates in the races And, the winners of New Hampshire's student mock election. Welcome to New Hampshire Outlook's "NH Votes" 2008 coverage. Hello, I'm Beth Carroll. Third party candidates are also looking to be heard in the last days of the campaign. They may not have the money or broad support that Democrats and Republicans have but that doesn't stop them from stumping in NH. Outlook's Phil Vaughn reports on the impact 3rd party candidates have on the races. PRODUCER/REPORTER: Phil Vaughn NAME OF PARTICIPANTS: George Phillies\ Presidential Candidate, Robert Kingsbury\ Cong. Dist. 1 Candidate, Ted Lowi\Political Science Professor, Cornell Univ., Dante Scala\Political Science Professor, UNH, Bill Gardner\NH Secretary of State. |
| Key:Community Politics Government Return to index of stories... |
NEW HAMPSHIRE OUTLOOK Air Date/Time: 11/2/2008 HOST: Beth Carroll Length: 4:20 A preview of Tuesday's election. Plus, a look at the impact of 3rd party candidates in the races And, the winners of New Hampshire's student mock election. Welcome to New Hampshire Outlook's "NH Votes" 2008 coverage. Hello, I'm Beth Carroll. Third party candidates are also looking to be heard in the last days of the campaign. They may not have the money or broad support that Democrats and Republicans have but that doesn't stop them from stumping in NH. Outlook's Phil Vaughn reports on the impact 3rd party candidates have on the races. PRODUCER/REPORTER: Phil Vaughn NAME OF PARTICIPANTS: George Phillies\ Presidential Candidate, Robert Kingsbury\ Cong. Dist. 1 Candidate, Ted Lowi\Political Science Professor, Cornell Univ., Dante Scala\Political Science Professor, UNH, Bill Gardner\NH Secretary of State. |
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NH First District In the race for New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District, incumbent Democrat Carol Shea-Porter has expanded her lead over Jeb Bradley in a rematch of their 2006 race. In the latest WMUR / UNH Tracking Poll,50% of likely 1st District voters say they will vote for Shea-Porter, 37% favor Bradley, 2% prefer some other candidate, and 11% remain undecided NH Second District In the 2nd District, Democratic incumbent Paul Hodes maintains a solid lead over Republican newcomer Jennifer Horn -- 51% of likely voters in the 2nd District say they will vote for Hodes, only 21% say they will vote for Horn, 1% prefer some other candidate, and 27% remain undecided. President Barack Obama has widened his lead over John McCain in the race for President in New Hampshire. More than half of likely voters, 58%, say they plan to vote for Obama, 33% favor McCain, 2% prefer some other candidate, and 6% are undecided US Senate In the race for the U.S. Senate, incumbent Republican John Sununu trails his 2002 challenger Jeanne Shaheen by sizeable margin. Currently, 50% of likely New Hampshire voters say they will vote for Shaheen, 36% will vote for Sununu, 2% prefer some other candidate, and 13% are undecided. NH Governor Incumbent John Lynch continues to maintain a wide lead over Republican Joe Kenney in the race for New Hampshire Governor. Lynch currently leads Kenney by a 71% to 15% margin with 1% favoring some other candidate, and 13% undecided. The dynamics of this race closely resemble Lynch's 2006 victory over Jim Coburn |